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14 Industries
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SEP 2026 Last updated

State of the Desks · SEP 2026

What our analysts are watching right now.

Five questions we're fielding most this quarter — momentum, policy, pressure points, and where the desk sees under-priced upside.

  1. 01 Momentum

    Which industries are showing the strongest 2026 momentum?

    Semiconductors and electronics lead on AI-capex spend; aerospace & defense is riding renewed EU and Indo-Pacific procurement cycles; healthcare diagnostics is benefiting from reimbursement codes clearing for AI-assisted screening. Our order book across these three desks is up 34% YoY.

  2. 02 Policy

    How are the new US–China tariff rounds reshaping supply chains?

    Second-tier semiconductor packaging is migrating to Malaysia and Vietnam faster than anticipated. Electric-vehicle battery cell imports face 25%+ effective tariff exposure, pulling more North American cell manufacturing forward by 12–18 months. Downstream FMCG packaging is quietly repricing.

  3. 03 Under pressure

    Which desks are seeing analyst caution flags?

    Commercial real-estate tech and legacy on-prem enterprise software are both facing structural demand compression. Traditional automotive tier-2 suppliers without an EV pivot are in the third year of margin decline. We are down-weighting these desks in our 2027 outlook.

  4. 04 Under-covered

    Where do you see the biggest 2027 upside that isn't priced in?

    Green hydrogen electrolyzer supply chains, small modular reactor (SMR) component manufacturing, and precision-agriculture sensor networks. All three have single-digit sell-side coverage today and 3-year forward CAGRs north of 22% in our base case.

  5. 05 Client signal

    What are enterprise buyers asking analysts most this quarter?

    Three questions dominate: (1) which suppliers survive the 2026–27 tariff regime, (2) how quickly does GenAI compress services-sector headcount economics, and (3) which geographies offer the cleanest EV and renewables policy visibility for a 5-year capex plan.

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